UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Gent - Molde

World Futbol
Gent
Gent
2 : 1
Finished
Molde
Molde

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gent - Molde 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gent.

Line favourite market consensus: Gent. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.71 / 2 3.53
  • 1X2 market: Gent 46.9% / X 25.9% / Molde 27.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 46.9%
X 25.9%
2 27.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Gent - Molde

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.05 48.8%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 3.53 28.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.82 55.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.27 44.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
П2 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Gent
L
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Gent 2:4 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Molde
W
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Molde 3:0 LarneLarne
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGent - Molde

Gent
0 matches total
Molde
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history