Match center
Start
02.10.2024 14:30 UTC
02.10.2024 14:30 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Guimaraes - Celje
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Guimaraes - Celje 2 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guimaraes.
Line favourite market consensus: Guimaraes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.99 / 2 9.12
- 1X2 market: Guimaraes 70.3% / X 19.2% / Celje 10.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
70.3%
X
19.2%
2
10.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Guimaraes - Celje
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.12
market consensus · line only
X
4.99
market consensus · line only
1
1.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.31
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.18
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.36 73.5% |
| Х | 4.99 20.0% |
| П2 | 9.12 11.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.31 30.2% |
| home_away | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.11 90.1% |
| П2 | 7.47 13.4% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGuimaraes - Celje
Guimaraes
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals