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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Europa Conference League

HB Torshavn - Motherwell

World Football
HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
- : -
Not started
Motherwell
Motherwell
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Motherwell — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Motherwell): model 47% · market 60% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · HB Torshavn17.4%
market17%
X · draw23.8%
market24%
2 · Motherwell ✓ Pick58.8%
market60%

Model estimate: win HB Torshavn 17.4%, draw 23.8%, win Motherwell 58.8%. Model favourite — Motherwell.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HB Torshavn - Motherwell July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Motherwell. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.60 / X 3.90 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 16.5%
X 23.7%
2 ✓ Pick 59.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.80 ↓ 5.50
1X2 X 4.10 ↓ 3.85
1X2 P2 1.48 ↑ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

HB Torshavn 1 : 2 Motherwell
15.71
X3.95
21.55

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

HB Torshavn - Motherwell

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HB Torshavn 16.6% 17.4%
Draw 23.8% 23.8% draw risk
Motherwell 59.6% 58.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.4% / 23.8% / 58.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,330 / 1,626 HB Torshavn / Motherwell
RD 235 / 282 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 861-1,799 / 1,061-2,190 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 58.8%
X 3.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.60 Fonbet · no value · model 17.4%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 76.2%
1X 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 41.2%
X2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 82.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9%
yes 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 2.30 43.5%
x2 1.11 90.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.80 17.2%
X 2.36 42.4%
2.07 48.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.77 56.5%
Under 1 1.98 50.5%
Match center
HB Torshavn
Country Faroe-Islands
Motherwell
Country Scotland
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-23 · KhB Torskhavn 0:2 Moteruell
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6 (Winline) · X 4.4 (Winline) · 2 1.56 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.5 3.85 1.55
Winline 6 4.4 1.52
Fonbet 5.5 3.85 1.55
Betcity 5.7 3.8 1.56
Source: ruscore · line comparison
HB Torshavn
L L D
23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HB Torshavn 0:2 Motherwell
31.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HB Torshavn 0:1 BrondbyBrondby
24.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HB Torshavn 1:1 BrondbyBrondby
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
1 Points
Motherwell
W
23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Motherwell 2:0 HB Torshavn
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHB Torshavn - Motherwell

HB Torshavn
1 matches total
Motherwell
HB Torshavn: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Motherwell: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Motherwell 0:2 (23.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 23.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HB Torshavn
0:2
Motherwell