UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 HNK Rijeka — 42%
Model estimate: win HNK Rijeka 42.0%, draw 26.1%, win Omonia Nicosia 32.0%. Model favourite — HNK Rijeka.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like HNK Rijeka.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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HNK Rijeka: Win 2.26 HNK Rijeka: Draw 3.33 Omonia Nicosia Win: 3.37 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.01 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.86 Individualnyy total golov HNK Rijeka bolshe 1.5: 2.23 Individualnyy total golov HNK Rijeka menshe 1.5: 1.68 Individualnyy total gol…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 43.9% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.34 29.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.40 29.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.30 30.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Tsele
AEK Larnaka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
Rakuv
Dynamo Kyiv
Full head-to-head historyHNK Rijeka - Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The HNK Rijeka - Omonia Nicosia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
