UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
HNK Rijeka: Win 4.85 HNK Rijeka: Draw 3.63 Strasbourg Win: 1.80 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.11 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.77 Individualnyy total golov HNK Rijeka bolshe 0.5: 1.61 Individualnyy total golov HNK Rijeka menshe 0.5: 2.39 Individualnyy total golov S…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.45 22.5% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.78 20.9% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.50 22.2% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.81 55.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.99 50.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Tsele
AEK Larnaka
Strasbourg
Breidablik
Aberdeen
Kristal Pelas
BK Hacken
Full head-to-head historyHNK Rijeka - Strasbourg
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The HNK Rijeka - Strasbourg breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
