UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Jagiellonia - Petrocub

World Futbol
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
2 : 0
Finished
Petrocub
Petrocub

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jagiellonia - Petrocub 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jagiellonia.

Line favourite market consensus: Jagiellonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.01 / 2 7.98
  • 1X2 market: Jagiellonia 68.9% / X 19.1% / Petrocub 12.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 68.9%
X 19.1%
2 12.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 58.3%
Under 2.5 41.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Jagiellonia - Petrocub

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.98 market consensus · line only
X 5.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
Х 5.01 20.0%
П2 7.98 12.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.12 32.1%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 2.5 2.31 43.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.13 88.5%
П2 6.39 15.7%
Match center
Jagiellonia
W
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 2:1 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Petrocub
L
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Petrocub 1:4 PafosPafos
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJagiellonia - Petrocub

Jagiellonia
0 matches total
Petrocub
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history