Match center
Start
19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
KuPS - Lech Poznan
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction KuPS - Lech Poznan February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lech Poznan.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lech Poznan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 4.20 / 2 1.50
- 1X2 market: KuPS 14.3% / X 22.5% / Lech Poznan 63.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
14.3%
X
22.5%
2
63.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
KuPS - Lech Poznan
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.50
Fonbet · line only
X
4.20
Fonbet · line only
1
6.60
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.11
Fonbet · line only
12
1.23
Fonbet · line only
1X
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.51
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.05
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.20 16.1% | 5.20 19.2% | 6.76 14.8% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.70 14.9% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.36 22.9% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.35 23.0% |
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.55 64.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.70 37.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.88 34.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
KuPS
D
D
L
W
D
KuPS
2:2
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
KuPS
0:0
Lausanne
KuPS
0:1
Jagiellonia
KuPS
3:1
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
0:0
Breidablik
Breidablik
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Lech Poznan
W
D
W
L
L
Lech Poznan
2:1
Sigma Olomouts
Sigma Olomouts
Lech Poznan
1:1
Maynts
Maynts
Lech Poznan
2:0
Lausanne
Lech Poznan
2:3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
1:2
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKuPS - Lech Poznan
KuPS
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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