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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
26.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Lausanne - Sigma Olomouc

World Football
Referee Nenad Minaković, Serbia
Lausanne
Lausanne
1 : 2
Finished
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lausanne - Sigma Olomouc February 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lausanne.

Line favourite market consensus: Lausanne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.28 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: Lausanne 44.7% / X 28.5% / Sigma Olomouc 26.8%
  • Glicko: Lausanne - / X 100.0% / Sigma Olomouc -
  • Total 2.5: over probability 44.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 44.7%
X 28.5%
2 26.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 46.8%
Under 2.5 53.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 71.7%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 26.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Referee Nenad Minaković, Serbia
Match center

Lausanne - Sigma Olomouc

Lausanne: Win 2.12 Lausanne: Draw 3.39 Sigma Olomouc Win: 3.67 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.06 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.79 Individualnyy total golov Lausanne bolshe 1.5: 2.17 Individualnyy total golov Lausanne menshe 1.5: 1.72 Individualnyy total golov Sigma …

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 16
Statistics 24
Lineups 23
min Event Player Team
22' 22' Normal Goal | J. Šíp | assist/sub out: D. Šturm Sigma Olomouc
28' 28' Yellow Card | A. Sylla Sigma Olomouc
35' 35' Normal Goal | Omar Janneh | assist/sub out: F. Mollet Lausanne
44' 44' Normal Goal | A. Růsek | assist/sub out: D. Šturm Sigma Olomouc
46' 46' Yellow Card | K. Mouanga N. Djurasek Lausanne
62' 62' Yellow Card | J. Šíp Sigma Olomouc
63' 63' Substitution 1 | J. Kliment | assist/sub out: Mohamed Yasser Sigma Olomouc
67' 67' Substitution 2 | F. Mollet | assist/sub out: S. Traore L. Anghelè Lausanne
Metric Lausanne Sigma Olomouc SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.04 1.14 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 2 final
Shots off target 6 2 final
Shots on target 3 3 final
Udary vsego 13 7 final
Fouls soversheno 11 17 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
Offsides 4 0 final
Lausanne #2 B. Soppy, #10 O. Custodio, #11 N. Butler-Oyedeji, #14 K. Mouanga, #25 K. Letica, #70 G. Diakité, #71 K. Sow
Sigma Olomouc #2 A. Sylla, #6 J. Šíp, #7 D. Šturm, #13 J. Sláma, #14 A. Růsek, #22 M. Hadaš, #91 Jan Koutný
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc football.player.assists 0
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Dribling popytki 3
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Dribling uspeshno 1
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Edinoborstva vyigrano 10
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Fouls soversheno 1
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc football.player.goals 1
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Seyvy 0
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc football.player.minutes_played 70
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Klyuchevye pasy 11
A. Růsek Sigma Olomouc Pasy vsego 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lausanne 45.0% - market favourite
Draw 28.6% 100.0% draw risk
Sigma Olomouc 26.4% -
Total 2.5 Over 44.3% - Under 55.7%
Model check - - Difference 0.71
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.71

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
Rating 1,768 / 1,684 Lausanne / Sigma Olomouc
RD 113 / 153 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.53 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.08 48.1% 2.08 48.1% 2.16 46.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.25 1.82 55.0%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 2.25 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Lausanne
Founded 1896
Sigma Olomouc
Founded 1919
Match center
Lausanne
D W D L D
19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne 1:1 Sigma OlomoutsSigma Olomouts
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne 0:0 KuPSKuPS
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne 0:2 Lech Poznan
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne 1:1 Omonia Nicosia
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Sigma Olomouc
D L L W W
19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc 1:1 Lausanne
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc 1:2 Lech Poznan
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc 1:2 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc 2:1 TseleTsele
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc 2:1 FC NoahFC Noah
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLausanne - Sigma Olomouc

Lausanne
1 matches total
Sigma Olomouc
Lausanne: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Sigma Olomouc: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.02 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.02 17:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne
1:1
Sigma Olomouts
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.