UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Lech Poznan — 76%
Model estimate: win Lech Poznan 76.2%, draw 15.5%, win KuPS 8.3%. Model favourite — Lech Poznan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lech Poznan.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Lech Poznan: Win 1.20 Lech Poznan: Draw 6.84 KuPS Win: 14.20 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.75 Individualnyy total golov Lech Poznan bolshe 2.5: 1.88 Individualnyy total golov Lech Poznan menshe 2.5: 1.94 Individualnyy total golov Ku…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | |
| X | 6.60 15.2% | 6.40 15.6% | 7.37 13.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.80 14.7% |
| 12.50 8.0% | 10.50 9.5% | 13.80 7.3% | 12.00 8.3% | 10.00 10.0% | 16.50 6.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.50 22.2% | 4.68 21.4% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% |
| home_away | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.08 92.6% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.05 48.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.40 29.4% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.75 57.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Sigma Olomouts
Maynts
Rayo Vallecano
KuPS
Kristal Pelas
Slovan Bratislava
Full head-to-head historyLech Poznan - KuPS
KuPS
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Lech Poznan - KuPS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
