UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Legia Warszawa - Реал Бетис

World Futbol
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0
Finished
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Legia Warszawa - Реал Бетис 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Реал Бетис.

Line favourite market consensus: Реал Бетис. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.21 / X 3.66 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Legia Warszawa 22.8% / X 26.2% / Реал Бетис 51.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 22.8%
X 26.2%
2 51.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Legia Warszawa - Реал Бетис

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 4.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.21 23.8%
Х 3.66 27.3%
П2 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.98 50.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.04 49.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.84 54.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.11 32.2%
П2 1.38 72.5%