UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Molde - Larne

World Futbol
Molde
Molde
3 : 0
Finished
Larne
Larne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Molde - Larne 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Molde.

Line favourite market consensus: Molde. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 10.72 / 2 23.12
  • 1X2 market: Molde 86.9% / X 8.9% / Larne 4.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 86.9%
X 8.9%
2 4.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Molde - Larne

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.07 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.10 90.9%
Х 10.72 9.3%
П2 23.12 4.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 7.57 13.2%
home_away 1.07 93.5%
home_draw 1.02 98.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.90 52.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.02 98.0%
П2 19.89 5.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMolde - Larne

Molde
0 matches total
Larne
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history