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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka

World Football
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0 : 1
Finished
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka February 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Omonia Nicosia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Omonia Nicosia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / X 3.40 / 2 4.30
  • 1X2 market: Omonia Nicosia 50.0% / X 27.9% / HNK Rijeka 22.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 50.0%
X 27.9%
2 22.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Omonia Nicosia - HNK Rijeka

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 Fonbet · line only
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.84 54.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.45 29.0%
4.40 22.7% 3.75 26.7% 4.36 22.9% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.25 1.87 53.5%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 2.25 2.02 49.5%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Omonia Nicosia
L W W D D
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 0:1 RakuvRakuv
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 1:0 Rapid Vienna
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 2:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 1:1 Lausanne
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 1:1 DritaDrita
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
HNK Rijeka
D W D D W
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 0:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 3:0 TseleTsele
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 0:0 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
24.10 14:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:0 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
9 Points