UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
24.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Pafos - 1. FC Heidenheim

World Futbol
Pafos
Pafos
0 : 1
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - 1. FC Heidenheim 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pafos.

Line favourite market consensus: Pafos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.35 / 2 2.96
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 38.7% / X 28.8% / 1. FC Heidenheim 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 38.7%
X 28.8%
2 32.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 51.5%
Under 2.5 48.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Pafos - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.49 40.2%
Х 3.35 29.9%
П2 2.96 33.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.77 56.5%
П2 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Pafos
W
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Pafos 4:1 PetrocubPetrocub
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
W
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - 1. FC Heidenheim

Pafos
0 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history