UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Petrocub - Pafos

World Futbol
Petrocub
Petrocub
1 : 4
Finished
Pafos
Pafos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Petrocub - Pafos 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pafos.

Line favourite market consensus: Pafos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.87 / X 3.99 / 2 1.55
  • 1X2 market: Petrocub 16.0% / X 23.5% / Pafos 60.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 16.0%
X 23.5%
2 60.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Petrocub - Pafos

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 5.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.87 17.0%
Х 3.99 25.1%
П2 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 2.44 41.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.93 51.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.87 53.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.55 22.0%
П2 1.19 84.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPetrocub - Pafos

Petrocub
0 matches total
Pafos
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history