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Start
19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.77 / 2 5.50
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 57.9% / X 24.9% / Samsunspor 17.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
1
58.0%
X
24.9%
2
17.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
market consensus · line only
X
3.77
market consensus · line only
1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.25
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.72
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.25
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.93
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 4.95 20.2% | 5.66 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.10 16.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.25 44.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.30 30.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W
W
W
L
W
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Drita
Drita
Rayo Vallecano
2:1
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
1:2
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Rayo Vallecano
3:2
Lech Poznan
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Samsunspor
L
W
W
L
L
Samsunspor
1:3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
4:0
Shkendija
Shkendija
Samsunspor
1:0
Shkendija
Shkendija
Samsunspor
0:2
Maynts
Maynts
Samsunspor
1:2
AEK Afiny
AEK Afiny
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
matches total
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Samsunspor: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 (12.03 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 12.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Samsunspor
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