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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
semi-final. 1 match 30.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
30.04.2026 19:00 UTC semi-final. 1 match
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg

World Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.33 / 2 3.55
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 45.0% / X 28.3% / Strasbourg 26.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 45.0%
X 28.4%
2 26.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 48.9%
Under 2.5 51.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Valekas (Madrid, Spain), 14 333 zritelya (92% pri vmestimosti 15 500)
Referee Donatas Rumshas (Palanga, Lithuania)
Start 30.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Rayo Valekano - Strasburg, 30 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Conference League UEFA 2025/2026, semi-final. 1 match. Rayo Valekano - Strasburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 2.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.44 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.20 31.3% 3.76 26.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 1.36 73.5% 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.0 — 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.25 — 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3% —
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3% —
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Rayo Vallecano

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Strasbourg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Luis Felipe Alvaro Garsiya Travmirovannye Aaron Anselmino Khoakin Panichelli Diskvalifitsirovannye Valentin Barko CHAMP
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W W
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 1:3 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
09.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 3:0 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
19.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 SamsunsporSamsunspor
12.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 SamsunsporSamsunspor
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 3:0 DritaDrita
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Strasbourg
W L D W W
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg 4:0 MayntsMaynts
09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg 0:2 MayntsMaynts
19.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg 1:1 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
12.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg 2:1 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg 3:1 BreidablikBreidablik
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Rayo Vallecano
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano Team comparison Strasbourg
12 Games 12
8 Wins 8
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
25 Scored 21
12 Conceded 11
25 Points 27
76.5 Attacks 92.67
36 Dangerous attacks 37
0 Big chances 0
11.75 Shots on goal 12.83
5.75 Shots on target 5.5
. 2 match Goly Aleshandre Zhuravski Isi Palason 1:0 54' Nakazaniya Samir El-Murabet 11' Pate Siss 38' Emanuel Emega 45+6' Ilyas Akhomash 74' Ben Chiluell 74' Floryan Lezhen 76' Diegu Moreyra 78' Dani Kardenas 83' Maksi Oyedele 90+7'

Rayo Valekano Strasburg 12 Games 12 8 Wins 8 1 Draws 3 Losses 1 25 Scored 21 12 Conceded 11 25 Points 27 76.5 Attacks 92.67 36 Dangerous attacks 37 0 Big chances 0 11.75 Shots on goal 12.83 5.75 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.75 Uglovye 4.83 1.83 Offsaydy 2 13.17 Foly 10.17 55.83 % vladeniya myachom 58.92 2.42 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 07.05.2026 Conference League Strasburg –:– Rayo Valekano semi-final. 2 match Goly Aleshandre Zhuravski Isi Palason 1:0 54' Nakazaniya Samir El-Murabet 11' Pate Siss 38' Emanuel Emega 45+6' Ilyas Akhomash 74' Ben Chiluell 74' Floryan Lezhen 76' Diegu Moreyra 78' Dani Kardenas 83' Maksi Oyedele 90+7'