UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Samsunspor: Win 3.90 Samsunspor: Draw 3.16 Rayo Vallecano Win: 2.17 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.49 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Samsunspor bolshe 0.5: 1.60 Individualnyy total golov Samsunspor menshe 0.5: 2.41 Individualnyy total gol…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.65 27.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.76 26.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.07 48.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | — |
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Shkendija
Maynts
AEK Afiny
Breidablik
Rayo Vallecano
Drita
Slovan Bratislava
BK Hacken
Full head-to-head historySamsunspor - Rayo Vallecano
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
