UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samsunspor.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Samsunspor: Win 1.30 Samsunspor: Draw 5.52 Shkendija Win: 10.60 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.69 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.21 Individualnyy total golov Samsunspor bolshe 2.5: 2.40 Individualnyy total golov Samsunspor menshe 2.5: 1.60 Individualnyy total golov S…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.62 17.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 9.75 10.3% | 9.30 10.8% | 9.30 10.8% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.00 11.1% | 11.25 8.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.40 29.4% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Maynts
AEK Afiny
Breidablik
Hamrun Spartans
Shkendija
Samsunspor
AEK Larnaka
Slovan Bratislava
Drita
Full head-to-head historySamsunspor - Shkendija
Shkendija
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Samsunspor - Shkendija breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
Simone Sozza