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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Europa Conference League

SC Braga - Zeleznicar Pancevo

World Football
SC Braga
SC Braga
- : -
Not started
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Zeleznicar Pancevo
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 SC Braga78%

Pure model vs market (1 · SC Braga): model 51% · market 79% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · SC Braga ✓ Pick77.9%
market79%
X · draw14.8%
market14%
2 · Zeleznicar Pancevo7.2%
market6%

Model estimate: win SC Braga 77.9%, draw 14.8%, win Zeleznicar Pancevo 7.2%. Model favourite — SC Braga.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Braga - Zeleznicar Pancevo July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: SC Braga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / X 6.40 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 79.5%
X 14.4%
2 6.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.15 ↑ 1.16
1X2 X 6.00 ↑ 6.40
1X2 P2 18.00 ↓ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

SC Braga 2 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
11.15
X6.60
217.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

SC Braga - Zeleznicar Pancevo

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SC Braga 79.6% 77.9% market and model agree
Draw 14.3% 14.8% draw risk
Zeleznicar Pancevo 6.1% 7.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 77.9% / 14.8% / 7.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,666 / 1,500 SC Braga / Zeleznicar Pancevo
RD 127 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,411-1,921 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 77.9%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 85.2%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 92.8%
X2 4.60 Fonbet · no value · model 22.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
yes 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 4.30 23.3% 4.70 21.3% 4.60 21.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.52 65.8%
X 2.86 35.0%
14.10 7.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
SC Braga
Country Portugal
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Country Serbia
Match center

Form & head-to-head

SC BragaWDWWWDDLDW
Zeleznicar PancevoLWWLLDDDWD
H2H 1-0-0, avg 1.0 gls
2026-07-22 · Braga 1:0 Zheleznichar
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.17 (Pari) · X 6.8 (Winline) · 2 17 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.17 6.4 15
Winline 1.16 6.8 17
Fonbet 1.17 6.4 15
Betcity 1.15 6.8 15.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
SC Braga
L W W D W
07.05 19:00 UTC+0 UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:3 SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
30.04 19:00 UTC+0 UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 2:1 SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
16.04 19:00 UTC+0 UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 4:2 Real BetisReal Betis
08.04 16:45 UTC+0 UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
04.04 17:00 UTC+0 Primeira Liga
SC Braga 1:0 MoreirenseMoreirense
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points