UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Shamrock Rovers - Apoel Nicosia

World Futbol
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1
Finished
Apoel Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shamrock Rovers - Apoel Nicosia 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Apoel Nicosia.

Line favourite market consensus: Apoel Nicosia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.62 / X 3.34 / 2 1.90
  • 1X2 market: Shamrock Rovers 20.8% / X 28.7% / Apoel Nicosia 50.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 20.8%
X 28.7%
2 50.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 42.0%
Under 2.5 58.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Shamrock Rovers - Apoel Nicosia

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 4.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.62 21.7%
Х 3.34 29.9%
П2 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.29 43.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.31 30.2%
П2 1.35 74.1%