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Start
19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Shkendija - Samsunspor
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shkendija - Samsunspor February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samsunspor.
Line favourite Fonbet: Samsunspor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / X 3.50 / 2 1.85
- 1X2 market: Shkendija 21.2% / X 27.3% / Samsunspor 51.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
21.2%
X
27.3%
2
51.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Shkendija - Samsunspor
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.85
Fonbet · line only
X
3.50
Fonbet · line only
1
4.50
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.20
Fonbet · line only
12
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.05
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.86
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.35 23.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.55 22.0% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.49 28.7% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | 1.34 74.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.44 69.4% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
Shkendija
L
W
L
D
W
Shkendija
0:1
AEK Larnaka
AEK Larnaka
Shkendija
2:0
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Shkendija
0:1
Drita
Drita
Shkendija
1:1
Jagiellonia
Shkendija
1:0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
7
Points
Samsunspor
L
L
D
W
W
Samsunspor
0:2
Maynts
Maynts
Samsunspor
1:2
AEK Afiny
AEK Afiny
Samsunspor
2:2
Breidablik
Breidablik
Samsunspor
3:0
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Samsunspor
3:0
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyShkendija - Samsunspor
Shkendija
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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