UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Sigma Olomouc: Win 5.23 Sigma Olomouc: Draw 3.63 FSV Mainz 05 Win: 1.76 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.17 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.74 Individualnyy total golov Sigma Olomouc bolshe 0.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Sigma Olomouc menshe 0.5: 2.28 Individualnyy…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 5.15 19.4% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.02 49.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Tsele
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Universitatea Craiova
Fiorentina
Zrinjski
Full head-to-head historySigma Olomouc - FSV Mainz 05
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Sigma Olomouc - FSV Mainz 05 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
