Match center
Start
19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha - AZ Alkmaar
0
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sparta Praha - AZ Alkmaar March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sparta Praha.
Line favourite market consensus: Sparta Praha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.53 / 2 2.87
- 1X2 market: Sparta Praha 40.9% / X 26.5% / AZ Alkmaar 32.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.8%
1
40.9%
X
26.5%
2
32.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sparta Praha - AZ Alkmaar
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.87
market consensus · line only
X
3.53
market consensus · line only
1
2.29
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.60
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.40
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.27
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.60
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.53
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 43.9% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 2.82 35.5% | 2.89 34.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.38 42.0% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.40 41.7% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.57 63.7% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Sparta Praha
L
W
W
W
D
Sparta Praha
1:2
AZ Alkmar
AZ Alkmar
Sparta Praha
3:0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Sparta Praha
2:1
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
Sparta Praha
1:0
Legia Warszawa
Sparta Praha
0:0
Rakuv
Rakuv
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
AZ Alkmaar
W
W
L
D
W
AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Sparta Praga
Sparta Praga
AZ Alkmaar
4:0
FC Noah
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
0:1
FC Noah
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
3:0
Drita
Drita
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySparta Praha - AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
1
matches total
Sparta Praha: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AZ Alkmaar: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
AZ Alkmar 1:2 (12.03 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 12.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Sparta Praga
1:2
AZ Alkmar
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