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Start
19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Strasbourg - HNK Rijeka
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Strasbourg - HNK Rijeka March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.
Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.71 / 2 7.61
- 1X2 market: Strasbourg 67.6% / X 20.0% / HNK Rijeka 12.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
1
67.7%
X
20.0%
2
12.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Strasbourg - HNK Rijeka
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.61
market consensus · line only
X
4.71
market consensus · line only
1
1.39
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.90
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.96
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.27
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.00
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.18
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.82
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 4.55 22.0% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.93 20.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 7.00 14.3% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.75 12.9% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.90 12.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 2.19 45.7% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.85 35.1% | 2.97 33.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.88 34.7% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 25.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
Match center
Strasbourg
W
W
W
W
W
Strasbourg
2:1
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
3:1
Breidablik
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1:0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Strasbourg
2:1
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
Strasbourg
2:1
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
15
Points
HNK Rijeka
L
W
W
D
W
HNK Rijeka
1:2
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
3:1
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
1:0
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
0:0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Rijeka
3:0
Tsele
Tsele
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
matches total
Strasbourg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
HNK Rijeka: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Strasbourg 2:1 (12.03 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 12.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Strasbourg
2:1
HNK Rijeka
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