UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
24.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

The New Saints - FC Astana

World Futbol
The New Saints
The New Saints
2 : 0
Finished
FC Astana
FC Astana

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction The New Saints - FC Astana 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like The New Saints.

Line favourite market consensus: The New Saints. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.43 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: The New Saints 46.2% / X 28.0% / FC Astana 25.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 46.2%
X 28.0%
2 25.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

The New Saints - FC Astana

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.08 48.1%
Х 3.43 29.2%
П2 3.74 26.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
П2 2.63 38.0%
Match center
The New Saints
L
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
The New Saints 0:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
FC Astana
W
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Astana 1:0 TSC Backa Topola
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyThe New Saints - FC Astana

The New Saints
0 matches total
FC Astana
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history