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UEFA Europa Conference League World

30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Europa Conference League

Valletta FC - Rakow Czestochowa

World Football

Valletta FC

- : -

Not started

Rakow Czestochowa

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rakow Czestochowa — 64%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rakow Czestochowa): model 48% · market 65% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Valletta FC15.3%

market14%

X · draw21.0%

market21%

2 · Rakow Czestochowa ✓ Pick63.7%

market65%

Model estimate: win Valletta FC 15.3%, draw 21.0%, win Rakow Czestochowa 63.7%. Model favourite — Rakow Czestochowa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rakow Czestochowa (odds1.43) Score 0:2 Under 3 (odds1.72) Handicap H2 -1 (odds1.68) confidence 64%

• liniya na pik P2 1.37→1.43 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Raków Częstochowa: probability 64% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 0:2
• Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 3 (odds 1.72)
• Handicap F2 -1: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.68).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valletta FC - Rakow Czestochowa July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rakow Czestochowa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.40 / X 4.40 / 2 1.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%

1 14.4%

X 21.0%

2 ✓ Pick 64.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 6.90 ↓ 6.40

1X2 X 4.60 ↓ 4.40

1X2 P2 1.37 ↑ 1.43

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Valletta FC 1 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa

16.48

X4.45

21.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Valletta FC - Rakow Czestochowa

Form 1/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Valletta FC 14.4% 15.3%

Draw 20.9% 21.0% draw risk

Rakow Czestochowa 64.6% 63.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 15.3% / 21.0% / 63.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,423 / 1,756 Valletta FC / Rakow Czestochowa

RD 288 / 159 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 847-2,000 / 1,437-2,074 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 63.7%

X 4.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 6.40 Fonbet · no value · model 15.3%

Double chance

12 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 79.0%

1X 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 36.3%

X2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 84.7%

Handicap

2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.68 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.17 85.5%
1x	2.60 38.5%
x2	1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.40 15.6%
X	2.48 40.3%
	1.92 52.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.32 43.1%
Under 1.5	1.56 64.1%

Match center

Valletta FC

Country Malta

Rakow Czestochowa

Country Poland

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls

2026-07-23 · Valletta 1:3 Rakuv

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 7 (Winline) · X 5 (Winline) · 2 1.44 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	6.4	4.4	1.43
Winline	7	5	1.41
Fonbet	6.4	4.4	1.43
Betcity	6.3	4.4	1.44
Liga Stavok	7	5	1.38

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Valletta FC

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Valletta FC 1:3 Rakuv

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0 Points

Rakow Czestochowa

W L L W W

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa 3:1 Valletta FC

19.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa 1:2 Fiorentina

12.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa 1:2 Fiorentina

18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa 1:0 Omonia Nicosia

11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa 1:0 Zrinjski

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValletta FC - Rakow Czestochowa

Valletta FC

1 matches total

Rakow Czestochowa

Valletta FC: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rakow Czestochowa: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Rakuv 1:3 (23.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 23.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Valletta FC

1:3

Rakuv