Match center
Start
26.09.2024 19:00 UTC
26.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Ajax - Beşiktaş
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ajax - Beşiktaş 26 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ajax.
Line favourite market consensus: Ajax. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.82 / 2 3.73
- 1X2 market: Ajax 48.8% / X 25.3% / Beşiktaş 25.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.5%
1
48.8%
X
25.3%
2
25.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Ajax - Beşiktaş
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.73
market consensus · line only
X
3.82
market consensus · line only
1
1.98
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.90
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.31
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.43
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Х | 3.82 26.2% |
| П2 | 3.73 26.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.90 52.6% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.31 76.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.43 41.2% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.47 68.0% |
| П2 | 2.78 36.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAjax - Beşiktaş
Ajax
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals