UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht - Ferencvarosi TC

World Futbol
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Finished
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Anderlecht - Ferencvarosi TC 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Anderlecht.

Line favourite market consensus: Anderlecht. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.40 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: Anderlecht 41.6% / X 28.5% / Ferencvarosi TC 29.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 41.6%
X 28.5%
2 29.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Anderlecht - Ferencvarosi TC

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.33 42.9%
Х 3.40 29.4%
П2 3.24 30.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.03 49.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.64 61.0%
П2 2.32 43.1%