Match center
Start
25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa - Bologna
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Bologna 25 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.51 / 2 4.60
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 52.4% / X 27.0% / Bologna 20.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
52.4%
X
27.0%
2
20.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Bologna
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.64
market consensus · line only
X
3.51
market consensus · line only
1
1.81
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.02
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.53
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.64
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.74
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.82
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.95
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Х | 3.48 28.7% |
| П2 | 4.94 20.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Х | 3.40 29.4% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.48 28.7% |
| П2 | 4.10 24.4% | 4.57 21.9% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.94 20.2% | 4.94 20.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.91 52.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.01 49.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
| home_away | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Bologna
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals