UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
27.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Aston Villa - BSC Young Boys

World Futbol
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 : 1
Finished
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - BSC Young Boys 27 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 7.08 / 2 11.73
  • 1X2 market: Aston Villa 78.4% / X 13.4% / BSC Young Boys 8.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 78.5%
X 13.4%
2 8.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 70.1%
Under 2.5 29.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Match center

Aston Villa - BSC Young Boys

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus · line only
X 7.08 market consensus · line only
1 1.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
Х 7.00 14.3% 6.80 14.7% 7.41 13.5% 6.50 15.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.20 13.9%
П2 12.00 8.3% 11.50 8.7% 13.30 7.5% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 12.50 8.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.50 22.2% 4.52 22.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.60 21.7%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.75 1.08 92.6%
ТБ 2.0 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 2.25 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 3.25 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 3.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 4.5 3.00 33.3%
ТБ 5.5 5.25 19.1%
ТМ 1.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 2.5 3.10 32.3%
ТМ 3.25 2.01 49.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 4.5 1.38 72.5%
ТМ 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Aston Villa
W L W W
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 2:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 1:2 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 2:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 1:0 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
9 Points
BSC Young Boys
L W W L W
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 0:4 PAOKPAOK
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 3:2 LudogoretsLudogorets
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 2:0 FCSBFCSB
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 1:4 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 3:2 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
9 Points