Match center
Start
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Athletic Club - AZ Alkmaar
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Athletic Club - AZ Alkmaar 3 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.
Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.15 / 2 6.34
- 1X2 market: Athletic Club 61.7% / X 23.2% / AZ Alkmaar 15.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
1
61.7%
X
23.2%
2
15.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Athletic Club - AZ Alkmaar
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.34
market consensus · line only
X
4.15
market consensus · line only
1
1.56
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.58
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.99
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Х | 4.15 24.1% |
| П2 | 6.34 15.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.58 38.8% |
| home_away | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.99 50.3% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.20 83.3% |
| П2 | 4.87 20.5% |
Match center
Athletic Club
D
Athletic Club
1:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
AZ Alkmaar
W
AZ Alkmaar
3:2
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - AZ Alkmaar
Athletic Club
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals