UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Beşiktaş - Eintracht Frankfurt

World Futbol
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
1 : 3
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Beşiktaş - Eintracht Frankfurt 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.18 / X 3.73 / 2 2.21
  • 1X2 market: Beşiktaş 30.4% / X 25.9% / Eintracht Frankfurt 43.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 30.4%
X 25.9%
2 43.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 60.0%
Under 2.5 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Beşiktaş - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 3.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.18 31.5%
Х 3.73 26.8%
П2 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.71 58.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.61 62.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.41 41.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.35 42.6%
П2 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Beşiktaş
L
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Beşiktaş 0:4 AjaxAjax
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 Plzen
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points