UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
25.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Bodo/Glimt - FC Porto

World Futbol
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Finished
FC Porto
FC Porto

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bodo/Glimt - FC Porto 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.79 / X 3.73 / 2 1.99
  • 1X2 market: Bodo/Glimt 25.5% / X 25.9% / FC Porto 48.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 25.5%
X 25.9%
2 48.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Bodo/Glimt - FC Porto

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 3.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.79 26.4%
Х 3.73 26.8%
П2 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.31 76.3%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.88 53.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.79 35.8%
П2 1.47 68.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBodo/Glimt - FC Porto

Bodo/Glimt
0 matches total
FC Porto
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history