Match center
Start
12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Bologna - AS Roma
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bologna - AS Roma March 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.
Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.15 / X 3.03 / 2 2.48
- 1X2 market: Bologna 30.2% / X 31.4% / AS Roma 38.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
30.2%
X
31.4%
2
38.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bologna - AS Roma
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.48
market consensus · line only
X
3.03
market consensus · line only
1
3.15
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.36
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.55
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.10
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.42
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.25
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.42
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.96
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 2.36 42.4% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.45 40.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | 1.41 70.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.0 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | — |
Match center
Bologna
W
W
W
D
W
Bologna
1:0
Brann
Brann
Bologna
1:0
Brann
Brann
Bologna
3:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Bologna
2:2
Celtic
Celtic
Bologna
2:1
Selta
Selta
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
13
Points
AS Roma
D
W
W
W
W
AS Roma
1:1
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
2:0
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
AS Roma
3:0
Celtic
Celtic
AS Roma
2:1
Midtyullann
Midtyullann
AS Roma
2:0
Rangers
Rangers
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBologna - AS Roma
Bologna
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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