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Start
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
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02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo - PAOK
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - PAOK October 2, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.
Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.88 / 2 4.98
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 56.4% / X 24.5% / PAOK 19.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
56.5%
X
24.5%
2
19.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - PAOK
Form
1/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.00
market consensus · line only
X
3.88
market consensus · line only
1
1.68
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.18
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.25
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.69
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.48
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.91
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.89
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.86
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% |
| 5.28 18.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.97 20.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.19 45.7% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
Match center
Celta Vigo
L
Celta Vigo
1:2
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
PAOK
D
W
L
D
D
PAOK
0:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PAOK
5:0
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
PAOK
0:1
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
PAOK
0:0
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
PAOK
0:0
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - PAOK
Celta Vigo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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