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Start
26.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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26.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo - PAOK
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - PAOK February 26, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.
Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.98 / 2 5.43
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 58.7% / X 23.9% / PAOK 17.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
58.6%
X
23.9%
2
17.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - PAOK
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.43
market consensus · line only
X
3.98
market consensus · line only
1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.32
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.15
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.79
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.58
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.83
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.14 24.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.83 17.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.60 17.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.25 44.4% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
Celta Vigo
W
D
W
L
L
Celta Vigo
2:1
PAOK
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Celta Vigo
2:1
Lille
Lille
Celta Vigo
1:2
Bologna
Bologna
Celta Vigo
2:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
7
Points
PAOK
L
L
W
D
D
PAOK
1:2
Selta
Selta
PAOK
2:4
Lion
Lion
PAOK
2:0
Real Betis
Real Betis
PAOK
3:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
PAOK
1:1
Brann
Brann
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
2.0
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - PAOK
Celta Vigo
2
matches total
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
PAOK: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Selta 3:1 (02.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 02.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Selta
2:1
PAOK
Selta
3:1
PAOK
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