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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Celtic - VfB Stuttgart

World Football
Celtic
Celtic
1 : 4
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celtic - VfB Stuttgart February 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite Fonbet: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.65 / X 3.80 / 2 1.95
  • 1X2 market: Celtic 26.1% / X 25.1% / VfB Stuttgart 48.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 26.1%
X 25.1%
2 48.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 60.8%
Under 2.5 39.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Celtic - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · line only
X 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 Fonbet · line only
12 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.60 27.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.89 25.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.55 28.2% 3.92 25.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
1.89 52.9% 2.14 46.7% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.50 40.0% 2.31 43.3% 2.48 40.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.59 62.9% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.75 1.91 52.4%
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.75 1.99 50.3%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Celtic
W D L W L
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 4:2 UtrechtUtrecht
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 2:2 BolognaBologna
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 3:1 FeyenoordFeyenoord
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 1:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W L W W W
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCeltic - VfB Stuttgart

Celtic
0 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history