Match center
Start
09.07.2026 17:00 UTC
09.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
CSKA Sofia - Derry City
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction CSKA Sofia - Derry City 9 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: CSKA Sofia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 7.70 / 2 12.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 12.2%
1
81.0%
X
11.6%
2
7.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Europa League
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.32
Unibet
X
5.20
Dafabet
2
10.50
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
CSKA Sofia
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.30
Conceded 1.00
xG 1.23
xGA 1.22
Corners 4.7
Derry City
W-D-L 3-1-5
Scored 1.78
Conceded 2.33
xG 0.65
xGA 2.15
Corners 11.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
CSKA Sofia
1
:
1
Derry City
11.19
X6.70
214.00
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
CSKA Sofia - Derry City
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.70
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.06
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.08
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
3.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.35
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.55
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.30 43.5% | 2.21 45.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 3.40 29.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 5.70 17.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Х | 2.57 38.9% |
| П2 | 9.20 10.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| ТМ 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCSKA Sofia - Derry City
CSKA Sofia
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals