Match center
Start
16.07.2026 17:00 UTC
16.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Derry City - CSKA Sofia
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Derry City - CSKA Sofia 16 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / X 1.05 / 2 12.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 27.6%
1
19.1%
X
74.6%
2
6.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Derry City
2
:
2
CSKA Sofia
13.80
X3.92
21.82
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Derry City - CSKA Sofia
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.85
market consensus · line only
X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1
3.75
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
7.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.55
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 0
2.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 2.24 44.6% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 7.20 13.9% |
| 1x | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.19 23.9% |
| Х | 2.37 42.2% |
| П2 | 2.38 42.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТМ 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
Match center
Derry City
L
Derry City
2:3
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
CSKA Sofia
W
CSKA Sofia
3:2
Derry City
Derry City
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDerry City - CSKA Sofia
Derry City
1
matches total
Derry City: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
CSKA Sofia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
CSKA Sofia 2:3 (09.07 17:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 09.07 17:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Derry City
2:3
CSKA Sofia