UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Midtjylland - 1899 Hoffenheim

World Futbol
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
1 : 1
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Midtjylland - 1899 Hoffenheim 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Midtjylland.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.91 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: FC Midtjylland 42.3% / X 24.8% / 1899 Hoffenheim 32.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 42.3%
X 24.8%
2 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

FC Midtjylland - 1899 Hoffenheim

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.29 43.7%
Х 3.91 25.6%
П2 2.94 34.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.11 47.4%
ТМ 3.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.71 58.5%
П2 2.20 45.5%