UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Midtjylland - Union St. Gilloise

World Futbol
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
1 : 0
Finished
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Midtjylland - Union St. Gilloise 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Midtjylland.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.52 / 2 3.07
  • 1X2 market: FC Midtjylland 41.0% / X 27.5% / Union St. Gilloise 31.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 41.0%
X 27.5%
2 31.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

FC Midtjylland - Union St. Gilloise

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.36 42.4%
Х 3.52 28.4%
П2 3.07 32.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 2.5 2.08 48.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
П2 2.22 45.1%
Match center
FC Midtjylland
W D
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Union St. Gilloise
D L
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Union St. Gilloise 0:0 Bodo/Glimt
26.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Union St. Gilloise 1:2 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points