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Start
19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
FC Porto - VfB Stuttgart
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Porto - VfB Stuttgart March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.44 / 2 2.77
- 1X2 market: FC Porto 38.1% / X 27.6% / VfB Stuttgart 34.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
38.1%
X
27.6%
2
34.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC Porto - VfB Stuttgart
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.77
market consensus · line only
X
3.44
market consensus · line only
1
2.49
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.54
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.44
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.23
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.85
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.94
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.12
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48 40.3% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% |
| 2.68 37.3% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.86 35.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.82 35.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.50 66.7% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.11 47.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.55 28.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
FC Porto
W
W
D
W
W
FC Porto
2:1
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
3:1
Rangers
Rangers
FC Porto
1:1
Plzen
FC Porto
2:1
Malmo FF
FC Porto
3:0
Nice
Nice
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
VfB Stuttgart
L
L
W
W
L
VfB Stuttgart
1:2
FC Porto
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
0:1
Celtic
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
4:1
Celtic
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
3:2
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
VfB Stuttgart
0:2
AS Roma
AS Roma
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Porto - VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
1
matches total
FC Porto: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
FC Porto 2:1 (12.03 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 12.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
FC Porto
2:1
VfB Stuttgart
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