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Start
19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce - Nottingham Forest
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fenerbahce - Nottingham Forest February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fenerbahce.
Line favourite Fonbet: Fenerbahce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.26 / X 3.40 / 2 3.40
- 1X2 market: Fenerbahce 42.9% / X 28.5% / Nottingham Forest 28.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
42.9%
X
28.5%
2
28.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fenerbahce - Nottingham Forest
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.40
Fonbet · line only
X
3.40
Fonbet · line only
1
2.26
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.65
Fonbet · line only
12
1.32
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.32
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.35
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
3.35
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.42 29.2% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Fenerbahce
D
L
W
D
D
Fenerbahce
1:1
FCSB
FCSB
Fenerbahce
0:1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
4:0
Brann
Brann
Fenerbahce
1:1
Ferentsvarosh
Ferentsvarosh
Fenerbahce
0:0
Plzen
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
6
Points
Nottingham Forest
W
L
W
W
D
Nottingham Forest
4:0
Ferentsvarosh
Ferentsvarosh
Nottingham Forest
0:1
Braga
Braga
Nottingham Forest
2:1
Utrecht
Utrecht
Nottingham Forest
3:0
Malmo FF
Nottingham Forest
0:0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFenerbahce - Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahce
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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