UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
26.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Fenerbahçe - Union St. Gilloise

World Futbol
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1
Finished
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fenerbahçe - Union St. Gilloise 26 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fenerbahçe.

Line favourite market consensus: Fenerbahçe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.80 / 2 5.20
  • 1X2 market: Fenerbahçe 56.1% / X 25.4% / Union St. Gilloise 18.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 56.1%
X 25.4%
2 18.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Fenerbahçe - Union St. Gilloise

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.80 26.3%
П2 5.20 19.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.25 44.4%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.19 84.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.27 78.7%
П2 3.95 25.3%