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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

World Football
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.91 / X 3.49 / 2 2.33
  • 1X2 market: FK Crvena Zvezda 32.4% / X 27.1% / Lille 40.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 32.4%
X 27.0%
2 40.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Match center

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.92 34.3% 2.70 37.0% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.74 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.36 42.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.29 43.7% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7% 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.75 1.83 54.6%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4% 2.06 48.5%
Under 2.75 1.99 50.3%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
FK Crvena Zvezda
L L D
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 0:2 BragaBraga
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:2 FC PortoFC Porto
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:1 CelticCeltic
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Lille
L W W
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 3:4 PAOKPAOK
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 2:1 BrannBrann
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

FK Crvena Zvezda
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history