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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
26.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

World Football
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 : 2
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille February 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.48 / 2 2.35
  • 1X2 market: FK Crvena Zvezda 32.5% / X 27.2% / Lille 40.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 32.5%
X 27.2%
2 40.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.71 36.9% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.36 42.4% 2.54 39.4% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.19 45.7% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
FK Crvena Zvezda
W D W W W
19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 LilleLille
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:1 SeltaSelta
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 Malmo FF
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 FCSBFCSB
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Lille
L W L L W
19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 0:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 1:0 FrayburgFrayburg
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 1:2 SeltaSelta
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 0:1 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 4:0 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Crvena Zvezda - Lille

FK Crvena Zvezda
2 matches total
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 (19.02 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 19.02 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Lille
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Lille