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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2024 14:30 UTC Match prediction
23.10.2024 14:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Galatasaray - IF Elfsborg

World Futbol
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
4 : 3
Finished
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Galatasaray - IF Elfsborg 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galatasaray.

Line favourite market consensus: Galatasaray. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 7.29 / 2 13.05
  • 1X2 market: Galatasaray 79.5% / X 13.2% / IF Elfsborg 7.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 79.4%
X 13.2%
2 7.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 14:30 UTC
Match center

Galatasaray - IF Elfsborg

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.21 82.6%
Х 7.29 13.7%
П2 13.05 7.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.83 20.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 3.5 2.10 47.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.06 94.3%
П2 11.19 8.9%
Match center
Galatasaray
D W
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Galatasaray 2:2 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Galatasaray 3:1 PAOKPAOK
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
IF Elfsborg
W L
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
IF Elfsborg 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
IF Elfsborg 2:3 AZ AlkmarAZ Alkmar
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - IF Elfsborg

Galatasaray
0 matches total
IF Elfsborg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history