UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Galatasaray - PAOK

World Futbol
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Finished
PAOK
PAOK

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Galatasaray - PAOK 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galatasaray.

Line favourite market consensus: Galatasaray. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.47 / 2 5.50
  • 1X2 market: Galatasaray 61.0% / X 21.5% / PAOK 17.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 60.9%
X 21.5%
2 17.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Galatasaray - PAOK

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.47 market consensus · line only
1 1.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
Х 4.47 22.4%
П2 5.50 18.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.55 39.2%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.16 46.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.24 80.7%
П2 4.33 23.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - PAOK

Galatasaray
0 matches total
PAOK
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history