Match center
Start
12.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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12.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Genk - SC Freiburg
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Genk - SC Freiburg March 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genk.
Line favourite market consensus: Genk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.15 / 2 2.80
- 1X2 market: Genk 35.9% / X 30.2% / SC Freiburg 34.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
35.9%
X
30.2%
2
34.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Genk - SC Freiburg
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.80
market consensus · line only
X
3.15
market consensus · line only
1
2.65
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.48
market consensus · line only
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.44
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.73
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.81
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.97
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.79
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.73 36.6% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.75 36.4% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.27 30.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 2.72 36.8% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.91 34.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 2.13 47.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Genk
L
W
W
W
L
Genk
1:3
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
3:1
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
2:1
Malmo FF
Genk
2:0
Utrecht
Utrecht
Genk
0:1
Midtyullann
Midtyullann
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
SC Freiburg
L
W
W
D
W
SC Freiburg
0:1
Lille
Lille
SC Freiburg
1:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
SC Freiburg
1:0
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
SC Freiburg
0:0
Plzen
SC Freiburg
3:1
Nice
Nice
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGenk - SC Freiburg
Genk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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