UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

IF Elfsborg - AS Roma

World Futbol
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction IF Elfsborg - AS Roma 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.37 / X 3.69 / 2 1.87
  • 1X2 market: IF Elfsborg 22.1% / X 26.2% / AS Roma 51.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 22.1%
X 26.2%
2 51.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

IF Elfsborg - AS Roma

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 4.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 2.02 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.37 22.9%
Х 3.69 27.1%
П2 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.02 49.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.01 49.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.22 31.1%
П2 1.37 73.0%
Match center
IF Elfsborg
L
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
IF Elfsborg 2:3 AZ AlkmarAZ Alkmar
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
AS Roma
D
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIF Elfsborg - AS Roma

IF Elfsborg
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history